British Web-pub Spiked has an article on scenario planning in the UK by James Woudhuysen, professor of forecasting and innovation at De Montfort University, Leicester, and an Associate of the Future Foundation. Snippet:
Many of today's forecasts are recipes, in fact, for never taking a risk, and indeed for never leaving home again. In 2005, therefore, exposing forecasters' pretensions must the starting point for comprehensive assessments of the future - and for the genuine activism that should accompany such assessments.